Continued Rise Predicted
Oil prices may rise amid supply disruptions in Nigeria and the threat of lower output from Iran, a Bloomberg survey showed.
Nineteen of 54 analysts, traders and brokers, or 35 percent, said prices will rise next week. Eighteen, or 33 percent, expected little change and 17 forecast a drop. Forty-one percent of respondents predicted a decline a week ago.
Attacks in Nigeria, Africa's largest oil producer, have cut almost a fifth of its output since Feb. 18. Militants yesterday said they wouldn't free three kidnapped foreign oil workers to force talks to cede control over the industry to the Niger River Delta states. Iran may react to United Nations sanctions because of its nuclear program with threats to halt oil exports.
``Crude will rise next week on saber-rattling in Nigeria and the UN Security Council meeting,'' said Kurt Barrow, senior principal at Purvin & Gertz Inc., an oil and gas consultant in Singapore.
Crude oil for April delivery gained 45 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $63.36 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange in the first four days of this week. Oil has climbed 19 percent in the past year. Today, oil rose 0.3 percent to $63.54 at 12:21 p.m. Singapore time.
Royal Dutch Shell Plc's venture in Nigeria has halted 455,000 barrels a day of production following attacks by militants on an export terminal and a pipeline in the Niger River delta. Militants set fire to the Forcados terminal and blew up the Chanomi pipeline during the attacks.
Nigeria produced 2.36 million barrels a day last month, making it the sixth-biggest producer in OPEC, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Iran, which pumped an average of 3.9 million barrels a day last month, is OPEC's second-biggest producer after Saudi Arabia.
Militants in Nigeria warned earlier in the week that they would continue attacks on oil installations in the OPEC member country where they have already brought one-fifth of crude exports to a halt.
The Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta warned on Wednesday that it was concentrating its resources on "one huge crippling blow to the Nigerian oil industry" with an aim of completely discontinuing exports of onshore crude oil.
